Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sámano		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.2
	3	3	2.22
	3.13	3.17	2.23
	3.09	3.27	2.19	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.11	3.04	2.23
	3.1	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.75)	3.08 ↑ (3.06)	2.21 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sámano
29.5%

Draw
29.4%

Lealtad
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29.5%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sámano - Lealtad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sámano (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sámano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Pereira N. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Sámano has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Lealtad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lealtad will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Lealtad will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sámano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.02.26	Rayo Cantabria - Sámano	7:0 ✺
01.02.26	Sámano - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Sámano	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Sámano - Burgos Promesas	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Real Oviedo B - Sámano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.02.26	Lealtad - Langreo	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Numancia - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Lealtad - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Marino de Luanco - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Lealtad - Sarriana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Lealtad - Sámano	2:2

Sámano - Lealtad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide