Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 10

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	São Bento		Osasco Sporting

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.78	2.22
	3.85	2.84	2.21
	3.57	2.76	2.22	Watch
	3.7	2.63	2.15
	3.72	2.66	2.19
	3.8	2.71	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (2.78)	2.73 ↓ (3.04)	2.19 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bento
24.9%

Draw
33.4%

Osasco Sporting
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bento's form might have worsened.

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

São Bento - Osasco Sporting Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Grigor ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Bryam ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Inacio Neto ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Bento won 2.

São Bento is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Osasco Sporting has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Osasco Sporting could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, São Bento won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, São Bento won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Osasco Sporting - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.26	Sertãozinho - São Bento	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	São Bento - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ferroviária - São Bento	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	São Bento - São José-SP	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ituano - São Bento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.26	Osasco Sporting - Santo André	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Linense - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Osasco Sporting - CA Juventus	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Osasco Sporting - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Piracicaba - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.01.25	Osasco Sporting - São Bento	2:0
24.02.24	São Bento - Osasco Sporting	2:1
09.04.22	Osasco Sporting - São Bento	1:2 penalties
02.04.22	São Bento - Osasco Sporting	2:2
27.02.22	Osasco Sporting - São Bento	3:0
Brazilian Serie B
24.09.19	Osasco Sporting - São Bento	2:1
25.05.19	São Bento - Osasco Sporting	1:0

São Bento - Osasco Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide