The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Bernardo 48.8%
Draw 30%
CS Alagoano 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
24.6%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
23.7%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.
CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
37.5%
0%
São Bernardo - CS Alagoano Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): São Bernardo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Junior Oliveira (G) 32. Bastos R. 26. Dudu Miraima 20. Emerson Santos 35. Foguinho 3. Helder Maciel (C) 21. Hugo Sanches 13. Matheus Salustiano 95. Para 59. Pedro Felipe 30. Sillas
1. Gabriel Felix (G) 18. Baianinho 5. Camacho (C) 6. Enzo 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 8. Gustavo Nicola 4. Islan 3. Marcao 2. Ramon 7. Silas 9. Tiago Marques
Substitutes
6. Arthur Henrique 44. Caio Garcez 7. Echapora 11. Felipe Azevedo 90. Felipe Garcia 19. Henry 5. Kadi Silva 25. Pedro Carrerette 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 17. Romisson 84. Vanderlei (G) 10. Vitinho
20. Danilinho 10. Gabriel Vieira 17. Gustavinho 19. Igor Bahia 14. Kevyn 21. Klenisson 13. Luiz Gustavo 22. Marcelinho 12. Paulo V. (G) 16. Roberto 15. Vander
Coaches
Ricardo Catala
Higo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Bastos R. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Tiago Marques ⚽,
22', Enzo 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Tiago Marques ⚽,
38', Silas 🟨,
43', Emerson Santos 🟨,
45+5', Dudu Miraima 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sillas ↓, Felipe Azevedo ↑,
46', Dudu Miraima ↓, Romisson ↑,
46', Pedro Felipe ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
60', Baianinho ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
60', Silas ↓, Gabriel Vieira ↑,
63', 🟨,
64', Matheus Salustiano 🟨,
65', 0 - 3, Enzo (Pen),
66', Emerson Santos ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
70', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Felipe Azevedo ⚽,
78', Hugo Sanches ↓, Henry ↑,
80', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Roberto ↑,
80', Camacho ↓, Kevyn ↑,
85', Henry 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 10).
São Bernardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
CSA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
CSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
São Bernardo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Brazil
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