Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Tombense		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.9
	1.65	3.25	5.4	Watch
	1.71	3.2	6.92
	1.69	3.28	5.94	Watch
	2	2.8	3.8
	1.69	3.33	5.63	Watch
	1.65	3.25	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.96)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	5.28 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
52.7%

Draw
29.7%

CS Alagoano
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CS Alagoano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Tombense - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tombense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 11. Anderson Ligeiro 5. Fabricio Dias 3. Ianson 7. Joao Pedro 6. Kaike 2. Leo Pereira 8. Lucas Mila 10. Pedro Oliveira 9. Rafael Silva 100. Roger Carvalho (C)	1. Gabriel Felix (G) 7. Baianinho 3. Betao 2. Felipe Albuquerque 10. Gabriel Vieira 19. Igor Bahia 4. Islan 5. Kevyn 6. Roberto (C) 11. Silas 8. Vander
Substitutes
22. Adson 18. Andre Cardoso 15. Fernando 26. Ingro 20. Jefferson Renan 17. Joao Vitor 13. Julio Henrique 21. Rickson 16. Tarcisio 12. Vinicius Dias (G) 14. Wesley 19. Ze Eduardo	15. Camacho 16. Enzo 12. Georgemy (G) 20. Guilherme Cachoeira 17. Gustavinho 18. Gustavo Nicola 21. Klenisson 13. Luiz Gustavo 14. Marcao 22. Marcelinho 31. Paulo V. (G) 9. Tiago Marques

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Vander 🟨,
26', Kaike 🟨,
36', Anderson Ligeiro ↓, Jefferson Renan ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Betao 🟨,
57', Fabricio Dias ↓, Rickson ↑,
57', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Ingro ↑,
58', Rafael Silva ↓, Ze Eduardo ↑,
62', 🟨,
69', Gabriel Vieira ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
69', Baianinho ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
73', Ianson 🟨,
84', Vander ↓, Camacho ↑,
84', Igor Bahia ↓, Tiago Marques ↑,
89', Joao Pedro ↓, Adson ↑,
90+1', Roberto ↓, Enzo ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Tombense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CSA is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tombense is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
11.05.25	Londrina - Tombense	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Tombense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ituano - Tombense	3:1 ✺
21.04.25	Tombense - Figueirense	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLWT
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
11.05.25	CS Alagoano - Maringá	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Ypiranga - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.25	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	ABC - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
11.08.24	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
26.09.22	CS Alagoano - Tombense	2:0
12.06.22	Tombense - CS Alagoano	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
25.09.17	CS Alagoano - Tombense	1:0
18.09.17	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:2

Tombense - CS Alagoano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide