Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 11

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	São Caetano		Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	4.2
	1.74	3.34	4.32
	1.77	3.41	4.37	Watch
	1.73	3.44	4.37
	1.78	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	4.29 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
51.7%

Draw
27.1%

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

27%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

São Caetano - Grêmio Desportivo São Carlense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Fabio Azevedo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Wermeson ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

São Caetano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

São-Carlense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match São Caetano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
26.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - São Caetano	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	São Caetano - Taquaritinga	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	São Caetano - Colorado Caieiras	2:2 ✺
12.02.25	São Caetano - Araçatuba	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	VOCEM - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTWL
- Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
27.02.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Jabaquara	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	União Barbarense - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Inter de Bebedouro	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Barretos - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Penapolense - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTTT

São Caetano - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide