Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 9

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	União Barbarense		Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.15	3.35
	2.15	3.16	3.1
	2.16	3.21	3.2	Watch
	2.23	3.12	3.33
	2.08	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.95)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	3.27 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Barbarense
42.9%

Draw
29%

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

30.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Barbarense's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Barbarense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

União Barbarense - Grêmio Desportivo São Carlense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Daniel Cruz (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

União Barbarense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São-Carlense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

União Barbarense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match União Barbarense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União Barbarense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
19.02.25	União Barbarense - Matonense	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Paulista - União Barbarense	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	União Barbarense - Joseense	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Taquaritinga - União Barbarense	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	União Barbarense - São Caetano	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.4 WWTWL
- Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
19.02.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Inter de Bebedouro	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Barretos - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Penapolense - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	3:3 ✺
25.01.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Joseense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
09.03.24	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - União Barbarense	7:0

União Barbarense - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide