Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	São Caetano		Jacareí

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.84	4.38
	1.9	2.95	4.41	Watch
	1.95	2.7	4.2
	1.82	3.23	4.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	2.93 ↓ (3.16)	4.38 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
48.2%

Draw
31%

Jacareí
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Jacareí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacareí than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

São Caetano - Jacareí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

São Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, São Caetano is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
11.04.26	Jacareí - São Caetano	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	São Caetano - VOCEM	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - São Caetano	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	São Caetano - Barretos	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Tanabi - São Caetano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLWW
- Jacareí FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
11.04.26	Jacareí - São Caetano	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jacareí - ECUS	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	VOCEM - Jacareí	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Jacareí - Comercial SP	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Lemense FC - Jacareí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
11.04.26	Jacareí - São Caetano	0:0
14.02.26	Jacareí - São Caetano	0:0

São Caetano - Jacareí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide