The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São João de Ver 29.9%
Draw 30.3%
Varzim 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
30.1%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
29.8%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
São João de Ver - Varzim Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 9th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1.
Recent results have been tough for São João de Ver (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Varzim has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, São João de Ver has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for São João de Ver against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).