Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cilmar Pedro Goergen (São José dos Pinhais)


	São-Joseense		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.73	3.89
	2.19	2.65	3.95	Watch
	2.1	2.6	3.75
	2.18	2.85	3.88
	2.33	2.88	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.33)	2.74 ↓ (2.88)	3.69 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São-Joseense
41.8%

Draw
33.4%

Brasil de Pelotas
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São-Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasil de Pelotas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

São Joseense - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

São-Joseense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

São-Joseense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, São-Joseense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, São-Joseense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Serie D
19.05.26	São-Joseense - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Blumenau - São-Joseense	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	São-Joseense - Blumenau	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Azuriz - São-Joseense	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Brasil de Pelotas - São-Joseense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTWWL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Copa FGF
21.05.26	GA Farroupilha - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa FGF
13.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.05.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Recopa Gaucho
06.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.04.26	Brasil de Pelotas - São-Joseense	2:0
15.07.23	São-Joseense - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
14.05.23	Brasil de Pelotas - São-Joseense	2:2

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