Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	São-Joseense		Maringá

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.25	2.65	3.3
	2.38	2.75	2.95
	2.31	2.85	3.1
	2.35	2.78	3.41
	2.3	2.75	3.2
	2.26	2.91	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)	2.8 ↓ (2.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São-Joseense
39.7%

Draw
32.3%

Maringá
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

32.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

22.1%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São-Joseense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maringá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Joseense - Maringá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches São-Joseense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maringá is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maringá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
10.02.22	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	São-Joseense - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	São-Joseense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	0:0 ✺
26.01.22	Londrina - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TTWTL
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.02.22	Maringá - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Rio Branco PR - Maringá	0:3 ✺
03.02.22	Azuriz - Maringá	3:0 ✺
29.01.22	Maringá - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
26.01.22	Maringá - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWT

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