Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 10

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cilmar Pedro Goergen (São José dos Pinhais)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	São-Joseense		Rio Branco PR

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.5
	1.95	3.1	3.7
	1.95	3.15	3.92
	1.95	3.28	3.7
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	1.9	3.26	3.75
	1.95	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.18)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	3.72 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São-Joseense
47.1%

Draw
28.3%

Rio Branco PR
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

25%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São-Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São-Joseense's performance.

Rio Branco PR has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Branco PR might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São-Joseense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco PR than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco PR could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Joseense - Rio Branco PR Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira C. F. M. P. (G) 9. Bianconi Kohl M. A. 5. Darlan 3. Dirceu (C) 8. Felipe Vieira 2. Igor Dutra 11. Marcos Calazans 4. Oswaldo Henriquez 10. Thiaguinho 7. Thomaz Carvalho 6. Vinicio	1. Filipe Santos (G) 2. Andrade V. 5. Berg 6. Biro Biro 11. Bryam 9. Caio Vieira 8. Ferreira 10. Gabriel Mello 3. Gabriel Vidal 4. Nailson 7. Ze Andrade
Substitutes
12. Agenor (G) 21. Dylan Vilela 20. Eduardo Oliveira 18. Hannyel 13. Henrique Vermudt 16. Henrique Vigia 19. Joao Maranhao 14. Junior Espeto 25. Maycon 17. Vitor Wallace 15. Wendel Lessa 22. Yan	19. Adekunle Ibrahim A. 20. Caio Cunha 99. Dhiordan 16. Jefferson Recife 12. Lucas Bergantin (G) 25. Luis Saldias 22. Radeche 13. Regis 17. Suarez N. 33. Tiago Brito

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Darlan ↓, Joao Maranhao ↑,
49', Joao Maranhao 🟨,
49', Oswaldo Henriquez 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Joao Maranhao ⚽,
64', Caio Vieira 🟨,
64', Gabriel Mello ↓, Suarez N. ↑,
66', Thiaguinho ↓, Wendel Lessa ↑,
75', Biro Biro ↓, Radeche ↑,
75', Andrade V. ↓, Luis Saldias ↑,
84', Marcos Calazans ↓, Henrique Vermudt ↑,
85', Nailson ↓, Vanderlei ↑,
85', Ze Andrade ↓, Caio Cunha ↑,
90', Thomaz Carvalho ↓, Henrique Vigia ↑,
90', Bianconi Kohl M. A. ↓, Hannyel ↑,
90+3', Radeche 🟨,
90+6', Berg 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 0, Henrique Vigia ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Paranaense 2 and 10).

Recent matches São-Joseense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rio Branco PR is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São-Joseense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São-Joseense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams São-Joseense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.02.25	São-Joseense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	São-Joseense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Azuriz - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLL
- Rio Branco PR
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.02.25	Rio Branco PR - Londrina	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	4:0 ✺
01.02.25	Rio Branco PR - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Maringá - Rio Branco PR	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Rio Branco PR - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
16.02.23	São-Joseense - Rio Branco PR	2:0
20.02.22	São-Joseense - Rio Branco PR	2:1

São-Joseense - Rio Branco PR: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide