Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 8

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio 19 de Outubro (Ijuí)


	São Luiz		Juventude

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.8	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.52	3.35	2.19
	2.68	3.24	2.36
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.85	3.5	2.26	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.83)	3.45 ↑ (3.22)	2.26 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Luiz
33.7%

Draw
26.2%

Juventude
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.6%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

São Luiz - Juventude Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raul (G) 22. Borasi B. 3. Bruno Jesus 10. Diogo Sodre 8. Gabriel Davis 21. Gabriel Pereira 7. Guilherme Dal Pian 2. Joao Vitor 5. Lucas Hulk 6. Marcio Duarte 14. Ricardo Thalheimer (C)	99. Lucas Wingert (G) 28. Alan Ruschel (C) 4. Danilo Boza 7. Erick 16. Jadson 20. Jean Carlos 15. Kelvi Gomes 43. Lucas Freitas 5. Luis Oyama 44. Mandaca 37. Rildo
Substitutes
13. Douglas Dias 17. Felipe Baiano 9. Gabriel Morbeck 20. Leandro Cordova 12. Luiz Felipe (G) 23. Luquinha 4. Mateus Santana 18. Ramires 16. Ricardo Liell 11. Vini Peixoto 15. Wesley 19. Yan Philippe	23. Abner 17. Edson Carioca 13. Jefferson 75. Kleiton 77. Mateus Claus (G) 8. Matheus Vargas 80. Montefiori T. 26. Para 45. Popo 34. Rodrigo Sam 29. Ruan

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Luiz won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches São Luiz won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams São Luiz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
10.02.24	Grêmio - São Luiz	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	São Luiz - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Novo Hamburgo - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	São Luiz - Avenida	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Caxias - São Luiz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TTLWT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
10.02.24	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Juventude - Avenida	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Juventude - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
31.01.24	Grêmio - Juventude	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
23.02.23	São Luiz - Juventude	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.01.23	Juventude - São Luiz	1:1
30.01.22	São Luiz - Juventude	1:0
04.03.21	Juventude - São Luiz	1:2
26.01.20	São Luiz - Juventude	1:3
23.02.19	Juventude - São Luiz	2:3
25.01.18	São Luiz - Juventude	1:0

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