Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	São Martinho		Maria da Fonte

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	1.7	3.25	4.25
	1.81	3.36	4.42
	1.77	3.44	4.33
	1.85	3.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2)	3.32 ↑ (3.16)	4.12 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Martinho
50.7%

Draw
27.3%

Maria da Fonte
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

27.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Martinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Martinho's performance.

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

São Martinho could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

São Martinho will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches São Martinho won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams São Martinho won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Brito - São Martinho	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Desportivo Monção - São Martinho	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	São Martinho - Vila Meã	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Vianense - São Martinho	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	São Martinho - Tirsense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLW
- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Maria da Fonte - Vila Meã	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Vianense - Maria da Fonte	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Maria da Fonte - Tirsense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Maria da Fonte - São Martinho	0:3
01.03.20	São Martinho - Maria da Fonte	0:0
13.10.19	Maria da Fonte - São Martinho	0:2
24.02.19	São Martinho - Maria da Fonte	2:1

São Martinho - Maria da Fonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide