Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Globoplay, SporTV, TV Globo
World	TV Globo Internacional


	São Paulo		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.60	4.60
	1.52	3.85	5.50
	1.58	3.95	5.35
	1.74	3.67	4.47
	1.55	3.85	5.25
	1.67	3.73	4.92
	1.59	3.65	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.96)	3.76 ↑ (3.38)	5.01 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
57.2%

Draw
24.5%

Flamengo
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.2%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Paulo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Paulo - Flamengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Carlinha (G) 7. Aline 23. Bia Menezes 2. Bruna Calderan 3. Carol Gil 11. Isa 5. Karla Alves 95. Robinha 8. Serrana 4. Tayla 99. Vi Amaral	1. Vivi Holzel (G) 11. Cristiane 8. Djeni (C) 7. Fabi Simoes 22. Fernanda 16. Flavia Mota 81. Jucinara 28. Ju Ferreira 10. Mariana 2. Monalisa 3. Nubia
Substitutes
1. Anna Beatriz (G) 15. Barbosa C. 33. Calazans L. 6. Clara 19. Crivelari 9. Gadu 18. Kesia Sena 72. Mylena Carioca 16. Pereyra M. 26. Preininger V. 28. Rafa Soares 22. Ravena	34. Ana Laura 35. Anna Luiza 25. Bibi (G) 99. Costa Garrit N. 31. Laysa 19. Layza 88. Leticia 17. Maisa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
89', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 3-1.

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 5th in the Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 5.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

São Paulo carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, São Paulo has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 18:9 (averaging 1.6:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for São Paulo against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:2 goals (averaging 1.8:0.4 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Women
Brasileiro Women
12.09.26	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	São Paulo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
26.08.26	Ferroviária - São Paulo	3:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
22.08.26	São Paulo - Mixto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTLW
- Flamengo Women
Brasileiro Women
12.09.26	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Ferroviária - Flamengo	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	Santos - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
12.09.26	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:3
04.05.26	São Paulo - Flamengo	2:1
Copa do Brasil Women
17.09.25	São Paulo - Flamengo	1:0
Brasileiro Women
24.03.25	Flamengo - São Paulo	0:1
Supercopa do Brasil Women
12.03.25	São Paulo - Flamengo	1:0
Brasileiro Women
20.05.24	São Paulo - Flamengo	2:1
15.05.23	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:1

São Paulo - Flamengo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide