Match Info

Copa do Brasil U20 - Semi-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	São Paulo U20		Atlético Mineiro U20

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.75
	1.53	3.88	4.72
	1.67	3.82	4.40	Watch
	1.57	3.6	4.8
	1.7	3.7	4.12
	1.55	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	3.83 ↓ (3.86)	4.59 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo U20
56.6%

Draw
23.7%

Atlético Mineiro U20
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

22.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Atlético Mineiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro U20 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG U20 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
42', 🟥,
45+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 3.

São Paulo U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético MG U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, São Paulo U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo U20
Copa do Brasil U20
26.11.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	1:0 ✺
19.11.25	São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
16.11.25	São Paulo U20 - Santos U20	3:4 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
12.11.25	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
09.11.25	Santos U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWT
- Atlético Mineiro U20
Copa do Brasil U20
26.11.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	1:0 ✺
18.11.25	Sport Recife U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Sport Recife U20	1:1 ✺
06.11.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:1 penalties ✺
29.10.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil U20
26.11.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	1:0
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:1
11.07.24	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2
20.06.22	São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:2
27.09.21	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1
13.12.20	São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:0
25.07.19	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	1:0

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