Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 18

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	São Paulo U20		Fortaleza U20

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.60	4.80
	1.55	3.8	4.95
	1.58	4	5.55
	1.54	4.12	5.13	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.54	3.84	5.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	3.83 ↑ (3.5)	5.11 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo U20
58.5%

Draw
23.7%

Fortaleza U20
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

23.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo U20's performance.

Fortaleza U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza U20 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Angelo Candido ⚽,
90', Rafael Vaz 🟥,
90+2', Matheus Ferreira (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 1.

In recent matches, São Paulo U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fortaleza U20 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fortaleza U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São Paulo U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
20.06.26	São Paulo U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	Juventude U20 - São Paulo U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
13.06.26	São Paulo U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	4:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
11.06.26	São Paulo U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.06.26	Santo Andre U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLW
- Fortaleza U20
Brasileiro U20
20.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Fortaleza U20 - Avaí U20	0:0 ✺
11.06.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Fortaleza U20	3:2 ✺
27.05.26	Fortaleza U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Bahia U20 - Fortaleza U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil U20
19.11.25	São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20	0:1
12.11.25	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	0:2
Brasileiro U20
02.04.25	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1
14.08.24	São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:1
13.04.23	São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20	0:1
16.07.22	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1
15.08.21	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1

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