Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
International	13:00	OneFootball TV


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.10	2.65	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.70
	2.43	3.20	2.90	Watch
	2.85	3.10	2.87
	2.62	3.01	2.86	Watch
	2.80	2.95	2.80
	2.73	3.13	2.73	Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.4)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)	2.78 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
35.4%

Draw
30.7%

Ascoli
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Plizzari A. (G) 79. Molina S. (C) 4. Stivanello R. 55. Giorgini A. 27. Stabile G. 24. Davi S. 11. Lopes V. 10. Rispoli F. 5. Tronchin S. 14. Vasic A. 90. Okoro A.	1. Vitale S. (G) 14. Oliveri A. 30. Curado M. (C) 33. Rizzo N. 19. Guiebre A. 4. Damiani S. 8. Corradini G. 7. Silipo A. 62. Milanese T. 15. D'Uffizi S. 99. Brunori M.
Substitutes
17. Anghele L. 46. Brik D. 9. Burnete R. 25. Mixtur K. 19. Pellini M. 1. Ploner L. (G) 80. Schroot E. 21. Tait F. 12. Vadjunec R. (G) 3. Veroli D.	13. Acampora G. 77. Bolsius D. 9. Chakir M. A. 45. Crespi G. M. (G) 21. De Pieri G. 32. Gattoni F. 35. Gori G. 18. Lo Scalzo L. 3. Nicoletti M. 11. Perciun S. 27. Ricci M. 5. Venuti L.
Coaches
Possanzini D.	Tomei F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Molina S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Okoro A. ↓, Mixtur K. ↑,
48', Stabile G. 🟨,
60', Lopes V. 🟨,
66', Lopes V. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
67', Burnete R. 🟨,
73', Silipo A. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
73', Brunori M. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
73', Milanese T. ↓, Acampora G. ↑,
75', Rizzo N. 🟨,
75', Vasic A. ↓, Anghele L. ↑,
80', Stabile G. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
80', Rispoli F. ↓, Brik D. ↑,
87', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie A and 4th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals).

In recent outings, Südtirol has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ascoli is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ascoli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Südtirol: El Kaouakibi H. (Knee Injury) Pyyhtia N. (Hand Injury) Varnier M. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Ascoli: Alagna M. (Knee Injury) Brzan R. (Inactive).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Südtirol has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Südtirol against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:3 goals (averaging 2.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ascoli	9	5	3	1	16:6	10	18
8	Sudtirol	9	3	4	2	10:9	1	13

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Ascoli: 2.48% Sudtirol: 0.83%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Wacker Innsbruck	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie B
20.09.26	Arezzo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:4 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Genoa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
12.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Ascoli - Avellino	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Padova - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Ascoli - Benevento	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ascoli - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Verona - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.02.24	Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2
02.09.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	3:1
15.04.23	Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0
27.11.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	2:2

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