Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 20

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Marijampole Football Arena (Marijampole)

Referee: Smitas R. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Sūduva Marijampolė		FA Šiauliai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.60	5.00
	1.55	3.65	5.3
	1.6	3.85	6.1
	1.55	4.14	5.53	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.61	3.88	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	5.36 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva Marijampolė
58.4%

Draw
24.4%

FA Šiauliai
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

23.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

FA Šiauliai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai Predictions

Users Predictions: Sūduva Marijampolė will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Plukas I. (G) 75. Stockunas E. 15. Zivanovic A. (C) 5. Baltrunas Z. 4. Uzochukwu H. 14. Steponavicius F. 6. Sabo A. 8. Lawson S. 7. Seck I. 94. Sanokho S. M. 13. Mikulenas M.	61. Baliutavicius G. (C) 32. Micevicius G. 4. Dapkus M. 2. Stankevicius N. 33. Vukovic L. 14. Zebrauskas K. 24. Naah D. 22. Pranckus P. 13. Romanovskij D. 8. Baftalovskyi A. 7. Garbaliauskas N.
Substitutes
22. Dhouib W. 87. Grigalava R. 10. Haydary O. 9. Lucky T. 18. Milasius T. 20. Omori Y. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 19. Tangiri F. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G)	23. Benny Silva 50. Bierontas E. 29. Dovydaitis D. 41. Gustas K. 27. Jarasius D. 5. Kersys K. 45. Leipus B. 12. Linkevicius P. (G) 21. Mandic M. 9. Nwoga C. 1. Sivickas V. (G) 30. Vaitiekaitis U.
Coaches
Vencevicius D.	Kuklys M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Romanovskij D. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Sabo A. ⚽,
43', Steponavicius F. ↓, Omori Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Baltrunas Z. 🟨,
56', Baftalovskyi A. ↓, Dovydaitis D. ↑,
56', Micevicius G. ↓, Mandic M. ↑,
60', Omori Y. ↓, Tangiri F. ↑,
60', Mikulenas M. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
75', Uzochukwu H. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,
75', Seck I. ↓, Haydary O. ↑,
77', Zebrauskas K. ↓, Benny Silva ↑,
77', Pranckus P. ↓, Jarasius D. ↑,
80', Stankevicius N. 🟨,
86', Sanokho S. M. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Lawson S. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Haydary O. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 and 9 in the zone TOPLYGA (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 0.

Sūduva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

FA Šiauliai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

FA Šiauliai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, FA Šiauliai has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sūduva is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 0.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
9	FA Siauliai	29	3	8	18	24:58	-34	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.06.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Riteriai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:3 ✺
23.05.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWTT
- FA Šiauliai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
12.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - FA Šiauliai	4:3 ✺
30.05.26	Banga Gargždai - FA Šiauliai	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	FA Šiauliai - Riteriai	2:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Ataka Vilnius - FA Šiauliai	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
02.05.26	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1
01.03.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	0:0
02.11.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	2:2
25.08.25	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1
25.06.25	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2
19.04.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	1:1
Club Friendly
25.01.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	0:0

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