Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 32

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Raudondvario stadionas (Raudondvario)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	BTV, LNK


	Hegelmann Litauen		Sūduva Marijampolė

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.40	1.70
	4.2	3.35	1.7
	4.63	3.6	1.73
	4.48	3.68	1.74	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.68
	4.62	3.45	1.66	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (4.56)	3.48 ↓ (3.67)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen
20.5%

Draw
26.1%

Sūduva Marijampolė
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

25.3%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

24.7%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paukste L. (G) 44. Nathan Silva 5. Puerto A. 18. Sadauskas R. 37. Radonja V. 8. Armanavicius V. (C) 6. Harouna A. 77. Wesley 27. Richard 9. Kazlauskas D. 21. Kausinis E.	31. Plukas I. (G) 23. Grigalava R. 8. Lawson S. (C) 5. Baltrunas Z. 75. Stockunas E. 94. Sanokho S. M. 6. Sabo A. 11. Chajia M. 18. Milasius T. 14. Steponavicius F. 7. Seck I.
Substitutes
31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 20. Jonaitis L. 67. Kaulinis A. 19. Pasilys D. 16. Remeikis M. 45. Shchedryi A. 24. Sinkevicius D. 26. Slendzoka D. 22. Tibell D.	26. Antanavicius D. 9. Lucky T. 13. Mikulenas M. 20. Omori Y. 19. Tangiri F. 16. Tsykalo Y. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G) 15. Zivanovic A.
Coaches
Vilkevicius T.	Vencevicius D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Seck I. ⚽,
45+1', Richard 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 🟨,
72', Chajia M. ↓, Tangiri F. ↑,
72', Seck I. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
74', Kazlauskas D. ↓, Pasilys D. ↑,
74', Richard ↓, Remeikis M. ↑,
80', 🟨,
80', Sanokho S. M. ↓, Antanavicius D. ↑,
82', 🟨,
88', Steponavicius F. ↓, Mikulenas M. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Wesley (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 1.

Hegelmann is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Sūduva shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hegelmann could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sūduva carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hegelmann has recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:25 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hegelmann against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:10 goals (averaging 2.3:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
8	Hegelmann	29	4	14	11	31:48	-17	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.09.26	FA Šiauliai - Hegelmann Litauen	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Banga Gargždai	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTTL
- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.09.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.07.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen	5:1
16.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2
14.03.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen	0:0
08.11.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1
30.08.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen	2:1
30.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2
27.04.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen	4:0

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