The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sūduva Marijampolė 22.5%
Draw 28%
Kauno Žalgiris 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
26.9%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
27.1%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Plukas I. (G) 75. Stockunas E. 4. Uzochukwu H. 15. Zivanovic A. (C) 5. Baltrunas Z. 14. Steponavicius F. 94. Sanokho S. M. 8. Lawson S. 7. Seck I. 20. Omori Y. 13. Mikulenas M.
55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 45. Moutachy J. 77. Lekiatas R. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 32. Baldassarra F. 6. Pavlovic D. 15. Leo Ribeiro 7. Benchaib A. 70. Ourega F. 24. Burba M.
Substitutes
77. Bickauskas P. 22. Dhouib W. 23. Grigalava R. 9. Lucky T. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 6. Sabo A. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G)
1. Aliukonis J. (G) 2. Burdzilauskas T. 11. Cernych F. 9. Ikaunieks D. 17. Kayode O. 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 79. Paulauskas V. 4. Racic L. 10. Sirgedas G. 3. Tolordava A.
Coaches
Vencevicius D.
Cerniauskas E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, Seck I. ⚽, Omori Y. (A),
72', Burba M. ↓, Sirgedas G. ↑,
72', Pavlovic D. ↓, Ikaunieks D. ↑,
79', Mikulenas M. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
79', Steponavicius F. ↓, Sabo A. ↑,
82', Sanokho S. M. 🟨,
83', Baldassarra F. ↓, Tolordava A. ↑,
86', Leo Ribeiro 🟨,
86', Sanokho S. M. ↓, Dhouib W. ↑,
89', Seck I. ↓, Grigalava R. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Tolordava A. ⚽,
90+3', Omori Y. 🟨,
90+4', Sabo A. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Omori Y. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 2.
Sūduva has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Kauno Žalgiris has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Kauno Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sūduva has had a series of away games.
In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.9:2.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Kauno Zalgiris
28
14
9
5
56:20
36
51
2
Suduva
28
13
11
4
39:25
14
50
Last Results with these Odds
Sūduva Marijampolė - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.54%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Lithuania
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Plukas I. (G) 
Uzochukwu H. 
Zivanovic A. (C) 
Sanokho S. M. 
Lawson S. 
Seck I. 
Omori Y. 
Moutachy J. 
Hernandez A. 
Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 
Baldassarra F. 
Leo Ribeiro 
Benchaib A. 
Grigalava R. 
Sabo A. 
Ikaunieks D. 
Racic L. 
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