Match Info

I Liqa - Round 20

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: ASCO Arena (Baku)


	Səbail		Baku Sporting

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.95	Watch
	2.3	3.17	2.82
	1.8	3	4
	1.78	3.26	4.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.13)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	3.77 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Səbail
46.9%

Draw
29%

Baku Sporting
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Səbail - Baku Sporting Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Bagirov S. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Səbail is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Including home match between the teams, Səbail won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sabail	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
10	Baku Sporting	3	0	0	3	0:7	-7	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
18.03.26	Səbail - MOIK Baku	2:2 ✺
12.03.26	Mingachevir - Səbail	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Səbail	1:4 ✺
24.02.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	MOIK Baku - Səbail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWTL
- Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division
18.03.26	Baku Sporting - Mingachevir	1:1 ✺
12.03.26	Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting	1:3 ✺
05.03.26	Baku Sporting - Mingachevir	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	Cəbrayıl - Baku Sporting	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
24.02.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	0:0
21.11.25	Baku Sporting - Səbail	0:0

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