Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 24

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	SB Castelo Branco		Gouveia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.84
	1.7	3.5	4.85
	1.68	3.5	4.66
	1.67	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	4.74 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SB Castelo Branco
54.4%

Draw
26.2%

Gouveia
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.6%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

21.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SB Castelo Branco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', ⚽,
31', ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', ⚽,
52', ⚽,
74', ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

SB Castelo Branco is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gouveia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match SB Castelo Branco is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SB Castelo Branco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.24	Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	SB Castelo Branco - União de Coimbra	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco	3:1 ✺
18.02.24	SB Castelo Branco - Rabo de Peixe	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Fontinhas - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLLL
- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.24	Sertanense - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Gouveia - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	União de Coimbra - Gouveia	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Gouveia - SC Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Rabo de Peixe - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.12.23	Gouveia - SB Castelo Branco	0:0

SB Castelo Branco - Gouveia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide