Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 23

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Sertanense		Gouveia

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.74	3.29	4.96
	1.74	3.29	4.96
	1.67	3.4	4.92
	1.68	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)	3.31 ↓ (3.6)	4.89 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertanense
53.7%

Draw
27.6%

Gouveia
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Gouveia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sertanense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sertanense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gouveia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gouveia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sertanense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.03.24	Alverca B - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
28.02.24	Fontinhas - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Mortágua - Sertanense	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Sertanense - União de Coimbra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTLL
- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.03.24	Gouveia - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	União de Coimbra - Gouveia	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Gouveia - SC Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Rabo de Peixe - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Gouveia - Fontinhas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.11.23	Gouveia - Sertanense	0:1

Sertanense - Gouveia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide