Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	SC Lusitânia		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.37
	2.75	3.05	2.44
	2.88	3.05	2.63
	2.9	3.04	2.56	Watch
	2.81	2.93	2.42
	2.75	3.05	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.78)	3.02 ↑ (2.99)	2.48 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
32.7%

Draw
30.3%

Covilhã
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

30.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

SC Lusitânia - Covilhã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monteiro J. (G) 70. Mosquera D. 2. Derick (C) 24. Edu 15. Breno T. 6. Serginho 5. Kaylan 23. Jefinho 17. Isabelinha 11. Joca 77. Sidney C.	71. Joao Goncalo (G) 17. Filipe L. 5. Ze Simao 55. Garcia F. 70. Peixoto R. 44. David Santos 28. Konate M. 10. Salgado L. M. 77. Ramalho D. (C) 9. Paulinho 19. Duarte L.
Substitutes
41. Dario Miranda 50. Drame Y. 32. Gunjo J. 53. Isma 30. Kipanda D. 72. Sa D. (G) 7. Watche T.	42. Claxton N. 16. Cornelio D. 6. Maio F. 53. Oliveira P. R. (G) 91. Paula G. 78. Peixoto R. 89. Piteira 23. Rafa 4. Tiago Caveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Sidney C. ⚽, Breno T. (A),
45', Konate M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Isabelinha 🟨,
55', Derick 🟨,
67', Ramalho D. 🟨,
67', Joca ↓, Biai B. ↑,
70', Ramalho D. ↓, Paula G. ↑,
71', Jefinho ↓, Dario Miranda ↑,
77', Breno T. 🟨,
77', Salgado L. M. ↓, Piteira ↑,
77', Paulinho ↓, Cornelio D. ↑,
81', Isabelinha ↓, Watche T. ↑,
81', Sidney C. ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
86', Peixoto R. ↓, Claxton N. ↑,
86', Filipe L. ↓, Rafa ↑,
88', Konate M. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Gunjo J. ⚽,
90+5', Garcia F. 🟨,

Preview

SC Lusitânia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Covilhã is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches SC Lusitânia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams SC Lusitânia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Caldas - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	2:2 ✺
22.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTTT
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Caldas - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.01.25	Covilhã - SC Lusitânia	0:0
15.09.24	SC Lusitânia - Covilhã	1:0

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