Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 3

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)


	SC Lusitânia		1 Dezembro

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.2
	2.95	3.25	2.22
	3.04	3.47	2.31
	2.99	3.28	2.35	Watch
	3	3.13	2.25
	2.95	3.25	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.53)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.26 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
31.1%

Draw
28.1%

1 Dezembro
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.6%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC Lusitânia's form might have worsened.

1 Dezembro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 1 Dezembro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 1 Dezembro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SC Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monteiro J. (G) 51. Derick 14. Amaral A. 15. Breno T. 27. Legatheaux A. (C) 52. do Rio P. 24. Rafa Tche 50. Jefinho 11. Nazarit J. E. 9. Souza N. 17. Isabelinha	1. Oliveira G. (G) 33. Simoes T. 2. Cesinha 26. Freitas J. 13. Bernardo J. (C) 20. Paulo D. 8. Jesus P. 19. Valente A. 11. Batalha R. 9. Morais G. 17. Barros E.
Substitutes
48. Cabral G. 93. Ferrara E. 3. Fontes B. 70. Mosquera D. 20. Rafinha 72. Sa D. (G) 19. Semedo D. 77. Sidney C.	30. Aguas G. 79. Cardoso D. 12. Duarte F. (G) 21. Isaac 23. Lisandro Menezes 6. Santos T. 77. Teixeira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Breno T. 🟨,
38', Amaral A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Paulo D. ⚽,
55', Barros E. 🟨,
57', Paulo D. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Souza N. ⚽,
62', Nazarit J. E. 🟥,
67', Batalha R. ↓, Aguas G. ↑,
67', Paulo D. ↓, Cardoso D. ↑,
76', Derick ↓, Fontes B. ↑,
76', Isabelinha ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
78', 🟥,
82', Jesus P. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
82', Valente A. ↓, Isaac ↑,
86', Legatheaux A. ↓, Sidney C. ↑,
89', Bernardo J. ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
90+3', Fontes B. 🟨,

Preview

SC Lusitânia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches 1 Dezembro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently SC Lusitânia have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
10.11.24	SC Lusitânia - Caldas	1:4 ✺
04.11.24	Académica Coimbra - SC Lusitânia	5:1 ✺
28.10.24	Sporting Lisbon B - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.24	Penafiel - SC Lusitânia	2:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.10.24	Atlético CP - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.9 LLTWL
- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
09.11.24	Belenenses - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	1 Dezembro - Atlético CP	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	1 Dezembro - Braga	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.24	1 Dezembro - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.03.18	1 Dezembro - SC Lusitânia	2:0

SC Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide