Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.58	3.7	5
	1.61	3.81	5.5	Watch
	1.64	3.9	4.95	Watch
	1.58	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)	5.09 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
57.4%

Draw
24.6%

SC Lusitânia
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

SC Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Académica Coimbra - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Académica will win (votes: 3 - 75%). SC Lusitânia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antonio Filipe (G) 22. Xico 3. Teixeira R. 13. Serra A. 80. Elvis 4. Obiora N. 5. Silva L. 23. Saint-Louis J. 8. Carvalho D. 11. Ferreira G. 17. Hachadi K.	1. Monteiro J. (G) 70. Mosquera D. 2. Derick 5. Kaylan 23. Jefinho 24. Edu 6. Serginho 15. Breno T. 77. Sidney C. 11. Joca 17. Isabelinha
Substitutes
69. Costa M. 16. Gomes V. 10. Lucas Henrique 6. Montez A. 9. Morais G. 66. Oliveira H. 21. Pereira F. 91. Santos B. (G) 90. Vitor Bruno	8. Azevedo T. 42. Biai B. 41. Dario Miranda 50. Drame Y. 32. Gunjo J. 30. Kipanda D. 72. Sa D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Sidney C. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Mosquera D. (Own goal),
18', 2 - 1, Silva L. ⚽,
32', Breno T. 🟨,
36', 3 - 1, Saint-Louis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kaylan ↓, Biai B. ↑,
58', 4 - 1, Silva L. ⚽,
60', Carvalho D. ↓, Lucas Henrique ↑,
60', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Costa M. ↑,
63', Joca ↓, Kipanda D. ↑,
63', Isabelinha ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
70', Elvis ↓, Vitor Bruno ↑,
72', Costa M. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
79', Hachadi K. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
79', Silva L. ↓, Morais G. ↑,
80', Lucas Henrique 🟨,
87', 4 - 2, Gunjo J. ⚽,
89', Derick 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Académica is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Académica won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
16.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLT
- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
22.03.25	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Caldas - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	0:1
04.11.24	Académica Coimbra - SC Lusitânia	5:1
05.08.24	SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	3:3

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