Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	SC Lusitânia		São João de Ver

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.38
	2.85	3	2.3
	2.95	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.98	3.25	2.4
	2.86	3.28	2.31	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	2.97	3.2	2.4
	2.95	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.39)	3.2 ↑ (3.16)	2.35 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
31.7%

Draw
28.9%

São João de Ver
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.9%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC Lusitânia's form might have worsened.

São João de Ver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São João de Ver's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São João de Ver, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SC Lusitânia - São João de Ver Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Monteiro J. (G) 2. Derick 3. Fontes B. 15. Breno T. 70. Mosquera D. 27. Legatheaux A. 18. do Rio P. 50. Jefinho 17. Isabelinha 9. Souza N. 10. Rafa Tche	99. Benjamim R. (G) 55. Paulinho 12. Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E. 54. Tavares R. 90. Ruca 6. Barbosa D. 22. Batista J. 88. Paulo Lima 8. Fortunato B. 9. Victor J. 18. Claro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Barbosa D. 🟨,
38', Tavares R. 🟨,
43', Jefinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Batista J. ⚽,
62', Mosquera D. ↓, Sidney C. ↑,
64', Claro A. ↓, Santos D. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Sa D. (Own goal),
67', Isabelinha 🟨,
69', do Rio P. 🟨,
70', do Rio P. ↓, Nazarit J. E. ↑,
73', Batista J. ↓, Andrezinho ↑,
83', Rafa Tche ↓, Rafinha ↑,
83', Souza N. ↓, Cabral G. ↑,
87', Paulo Lima ↓, Jota Oliveira ↑,
87', Barbosa D. ↓, Jesse P. ↑,
87', Fortunato B. ↓, Vini ↑,
90+1', Paulo Lima 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

SC Lusitânia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
16.11.24	SC Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	SC Lusitânia - Caldas	1:4 ✺
04.11.24	Académica Coimbra - SC Lusitânia	5:1 ✺
28.10.24	Sporting Lisbon B - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.24	Penafiel - SC Lusitânia	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.1 TLLTW
- São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3
10.11.24	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Lusitânia - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Varzim - São João de Ver	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	São João de Ver - Paredes	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.24	São João de Ver - Anadia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWW

SC Lusitânia - São João de Ver: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide