Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 1

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Ecuavisa
Peru	Zapping Sports


	SD Aucas		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.15	3.05	3.35
	1.98	3.22	3.96
	1.98	3.3	3.89	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.11	3.12	3.62	Watch
	2	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.67)	3.13 ↓ (3.42)	3.62 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
44.9%

Draw
29.5%

Mushuc Runa
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Aucas's form might have worsened.

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mushuc Runa's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Piedra H. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 3. Ontaneda J. (C) 37. Zova A. 28. Quinonez R. 6. Spina A. L. 14. Tapiero S. 21. Guzman P. 57. Vera M. 7. Miranda B. 18. Mena A.	25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 44. Gamboa M. 6. Negro B. 33. Hernandez J. 7. Minda T. 18. Gonzalez J. 15. Cela A. 77. Velasco K. 9. Carrillo R. 30. Ibarra R.
Substitutes
29. Arroyo L. 12. Cabezas J. (G) 31. Carabali B. 51. Cortez A. 99. Japa E. 91. Luna D. 2. Morales S. 55. Olaya V. 33. Porozo S. 5. Serpa T. 89. Sosa A.	99. Angulo C. 14. Caicedo E. 12. Carabali F. 19. Carcelen J. 5. Davila E. 11. Dibble N. 2. Flor F. 10. Mina F. 42. Pabon W. (G) 17. Pico O. 8. Zambrano A.
Coaches
Araujo N.	Velez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Cela A. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
27', Negro B. ↓, Flor F. ↑,
35', Formento R. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Miranda B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Minda T. ↓, Angulo C. ↑,
50', Davila E. 🟨,
52', Tapiero S. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Gamboa M. ⚽,
63', Zova A. ↓, Olaya V. ↑,
70', Mena A. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
71', Guzman P. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
77', Olaya V. 🟥,
78', Vera M. ↓, Morales S. ↑,
83', Gonzalez J. ↓, Mina F. ↑,
83', Carrillo R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
90', Spina A. L. 🟨,
90+1', Miranda B. 🟨,
90+6', Tapiero S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.

Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aucas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	34:30	4	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.12.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Delfín - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	El Nacional - SD Aucas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.11.25	Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Manta - Mushuc Runa	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.25	Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas	1:0
27.04.25	SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa	2:0
15.09.24	SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa	1:2
30.03.24	Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas	0:2
29.10.23	SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa	4:0
20.05.23	Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas	0:0
09.10.22	SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa	0:0

Upcoming Matches