Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	SD Logroñés		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.73
	4.4	3.2	1.73
	4.5	3.5	1.75
	4.63	3.52	1.77
	4.59	3.33	1.78
	4.5	3.3	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4.32)	3.35 ↓ (3.56)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
20.3%

Draw
27.4%

Fuenlabrada
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

26%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25.4%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

SD Logroñés - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 14. Cova A. 4. Murua J. 5. Aurtenetxe J. 3. Paredes J. 7. Fernandez O. 22. Garrido D. 21. Salado A. 15. Curro 18. Manny 17. Escobar J.	13. Belman (G) 4. Sotillos A. 5. Lama M. 6. Alvaro Garcia 14. Barbosa A. 7. Hernandez R. 8. Cristobal (C) 37. Javi Curras 23. Galindo A. 10. Bravo A. 20. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
8. Castellano J. 19. Conejero M. 6. Elosegi G. 16. Ezkurdia I. 27. Jaraiz A. 30. Lleyda D. (G) 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Miceli A. 20. Sabater D. 11. Schmerbock M. 2. Trespalacios A.	16. Alba D. 29. Benitez C. 12. Buer S. 1. Diaz J. (G) 3. Duran J. 19. Hassaine I. 34. Reguilon M. 15. Sanchez A. 2. Vigaray C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Escobar J. 🟨,
39', Salado A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez R. ↓, Reguilon M. ↑,
64', Sergio Benito ↓, Hassaine I. ↑,
64', Javi Curras ↓, Duran J. ↑,
67', Curro ↓, Castellano J. ↑,
68', Alvaro Garcia ↓, Alba D. ↑,
77', Manny ↓, Sabater D. ↑,
77', Garrido D. ↓, Jaraiz A. ↑,
77', Cova A. ↓, Elosegi G. ↑,
80', Galindo A. ↓, Buer S. ↑,
84', Salado A. ↓, Schmerbock M. ↑,
90+4', Belman 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

SD Logroñés is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fuenlabrada has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Fuenlabrada is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.04.24	Celta de Vigo B - SD Logroñés	4:0 ✺
21.04.24	SD Logroñés - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Ponferradina - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	SD Logroñés - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLTL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.04.24	Fuenlabrada - Teruel	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Real Sociedad B - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Fuenlabrada - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.10.23	Fuenlabrada - SD Logroñés	2:1

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