Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.4	3.9	7.25
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.41	4.23	8.23
	1.42	4.23	8.23
	1.41	4.04	8.15
	1.38	3.75	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.35)	3.99 ↓ (4.22)	7.94 ↓ (9.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
65.3%

Draw
23.1%

SD Logroñés
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

21.7%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

13.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-23.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ponferradina - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 22. Andujar D. 4. Sibille K. 20. Javi Lancho 19. Lopez A. 12. Claveria P. 8. Llonch P. 6. Igbekeme J. 7. Gomez E. 5. Longo S.	13. Marti O. (G) 19. Conejero M. 2. Trespalacios A. 4. Murua J. 3. Paredes J. 22. Garrido D. 8. Castellano J. 23. Miceli A. 7. Fernandez O. 17. Escobar J. 10. Ferni
Substitutes
18. Abelenda B. 21. Cabanzon Y. 14. Cerda J. 27. Costa A. 2. Diez A. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 15. Leal A. 10. Yuri	15. Curro 6. Elosegi G. 26. Gonzalez P. 1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 27. Jaraiz A. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 20. Sabater D. 21. Salado A. 11. Schmerbock M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sibille K. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Murua J. (Own goal),
12', 3 - 0, Longo S. ⚽,
39', Miceli A. 🟨,
39', Trespalacios A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Miceli A. ↓, Schmerbock M. ↑,
46', Garrido D. ↓, Sabater D. ↑,
64', Lopez A. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
67', Ferni ↓, Jaraiz A. ↑,
67', Paredes J. ↓, Elosegi G. ↑,
80', Llonch P. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
80', Longo S. ↓, Abelenda B. ↑,
81', Fernandez O. ↓, Luzzi Rangel F. R. ↑,
86', Costa A. 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SD Logroñés is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ponferradina is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.04.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Tarazona - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTT
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.04.24	SD Logroñés - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	SD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Sestao - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	SD Logroñés - Teruel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.01.24	SD Logroñés - Ponferradina	0:3

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