Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	SD Logroñés		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.8	2.5
	2.85	2.7	2.45
	2.95	2.7	2.52
	2.9	2.75	2.49
	3.14	2.75	2.61
	2.97	2.91	2.53
	2.95	2.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.6)	2.77 ↑ (2.7)	2.51 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
30.9%

Draw
32.9%

Real Murcia
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SD Logroñés - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent matches SD Logroñés is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murcia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Murcia have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.01.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	SD Logroñés - Numancia	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Real Sociedad B - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
11.12.22	SD Logroñés - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLWW
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.23	Real Murcia - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.23	Real Murcia - Paderborn	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.23	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Real Murcia - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.23	Real Murcia - Werder Bremen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.10.22	Real Murcia - SD Logroñés	4:2

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