Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 17 January 2023, Tuesday


	Real Murcia		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.62
	4.25	3.6	1.72
	4.8	3.9	1.57
	4.81	3.89	1.56
	4.75	3.6	1.6
	4.85	4	1.57	Watch
	4.9	4	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.08)	3.82 ↑ (3.55)	1.6 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
19.5%

Draw
23.8%

Paderborn
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

24.9%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Murcia's form might have worsened.

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paderborn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Real Murcia - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Paderborn have a series of home games.

In this match Paderborn is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.23	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Real Murcia - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.23	Real Murcia - Werder Bremen	0:2 ✺
30.12.22	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW
- SC Paderborn 07
Club Friendly
11.01.23	Paderborn - St. Gallen	0:1 ✺
07.01.23	Paderborn - Duisburg	4:0 ✺
17.12.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Paderborn	3:2 ✺
16.12.22	Paderborn - Bochum	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Paderborn - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLTL

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