Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)


	Real Murcia		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.9	3	3.85
	1.95	3.15	3.55
	1.95	3.26	4.07
	1.95	3	4
	1.88	3.22	3.98
	1.92	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.98)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	3.82 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
47.2%

Draw
29%

Amorebieta
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Real Murcia - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Murcia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent matches Murcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amorebieta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Murcia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Club Friendly
04.01.23	Real Murcia - Werder Bremen	0:2 ✺
30.12.22	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Real Murcia - Sabadell	3:1 ✺
08.12.22	Cornellà - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWT
- SD Amorebieta
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Portugalete - Amorebieta	0:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	Amorebieta - Intercity	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Eldense - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
07.12.22	Amorebieta - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Amorebieta - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWT

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