The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sestao 65.3%
Draw 23.3%
Ejea 11.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
23.5%
13.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.5%
20.8%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Ejea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (+4%)
Sestao - Ejea Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Ejea (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ejea (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Seguin A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Benito A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).
Sestao has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ejea is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ejea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sestao is the obvious favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sestao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.