Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 13

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ernie Smith Reserve (Sydney)


	SD Raiders		APIA Leichhardt Tigers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.55	4.15	1.55	Watch
	4.6	4.44	1.59
	4.76	4.49	1.57
	4.6	3.9	1.53
	4.76	4.2	1.53	Watch
	6.25	4.7	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (4.83)	4.31 ↓ (5)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Raiders
18.6%

Draw
21.2%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

18.6%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

18.2%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

SD Raiders - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gonzalez O. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Ragg C. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Eremugo R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Raiders is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

APIA Leichhardt is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, APIA Leichhardt is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Raiders
Australian NPL NSW
26.04.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	SD Raiders - St George Saints	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Marconi Stallions - SD Raiders	6:1 ✺
04.04.26	SD Raiders - Wollongong Wolves	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Blacktown City - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLTW
- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
26.04.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - St George Saints	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney Olympic	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	University of New South Wales - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	4:1 ✺
27.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW

SD Raiders - APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide