Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 10

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: The Village Green (Sydney)


	University of New South Wales		APIA Leichhardt Tigers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.3	5.5	1.23	Watch
	8.1	5.98	1.27
	8.7	6.24	1.26
	8	5	1.29
	8.77	5.42	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.37 ↑ (5.97)	5.63 ↑ (4.37)	1.27 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University of New South Wales
11%

Draw
16.4%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

20.9%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

20.6%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University of New South Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting APIA Leichhardt Tigers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for APIA Leichhardt Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

University of New South Wales - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In recent matches, UNSW has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

APIA Leichhardt is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

UNSW may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, APIA Leichhardt is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NPL NSW
04.04.26	North West Sydney Spirit - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	University of New South Wales - St. George City	5:0 ✺
20.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - University of New South Wales	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sutherland Sharks - University of New South Wales	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	University of New South Wales - Marconi Stallions	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWLT
- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
03.04.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	4:1 ✺
27.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Blacktown City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

University of New South Wales - APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide