Match Info

Date: 20 September 2020, Sunday


	SJK Akatemia		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.66	Watch
	4.1	3.75	1.67
	4	4.05	1.7
	4.1	3.65	1.75
	4.51	3.77	1.82
	4.33	3.7	1.73
	4.15	3.85	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (4.03)	3.8 ↓ (4.05)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SJK Akatemia
22%

Draw
24.4%

VPS Vaasa
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

22.9%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

18.6%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SJK Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK Akatemia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SJK Akatemia - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6).

SJK Akatemia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

VPS is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SJK Akatemia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match VPS is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SJK Akatemia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams SJK Akatemia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SJK Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
16.09.20	MuSa - SJK Akatemia	3:2 ✺
12.09.20	SJK Akatemia - Oulu	1:1 ✺
07.09.20	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	4:0 ✺
30.08.20	SJK Akatemia - Kajaani	1:4 ✺
22.08.20	MYPA - SJK Akatemia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLLL
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Ykkonen
16.09.20	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:2 ✺
12.09.20	MYPA - VPS Vaasa	3:6 ✺
05.09.20	VPS Vaasa - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
30.08.20	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	1:2 ✺
22.08.20	VPS Vaasa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
24.07.20	VPS Vaasa - SJK Akatemia	3:1
Finnish Cup
25.01.20	VPS Vaasa - SJK Akatemia	0:1
03.02.17	SJK Akatemia - VPS Vaasa	3:7

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