Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 23

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)

Referee: Kontinen J. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	VPS Vaasa		Oulu

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.10	3.30	3.40
	2.08	3.3	3.45	Watch
	2.16	3.4	3.76
	2.09	3.39	3.6	Watch
	2.06	3.3	3.65
	2.06	3.32	3.56	Watch
	2.03	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)	3.32 ↓ (3.35)	3.52 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VPS Vaasa
45.1%

Draw
28.2%

Oulu
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

28.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

VPS Vaasa - Oulu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. VPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Jalloh M. (G) 23. Niemi M. 6. Okereke E. 19. Haukioja M. (C) 24. Daoussi Y. 2. Mane L. 8. Lima P. 7. Turfkruier J. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 14. Lindholm S. 30. Vahtera J.	13. Santos M. (G) 29. Silander S. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 18. Cassama A. 14. Jokelainen N. 21. Mendolin I. 25. Arsalo M. 22. Kaukua T. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 9. Riski Ro.
Substitutes
21. Adu-Boahen A. 26. Forsbacka R. 9. Holmelund C. 20. Odhiambo X. 13. Ogunniyi O. 34. Raisanen A. 3. Simpson R. 17. Terrnava D. 12. Vayrynen L. (G)	64. Backman T. (G) 11. Ghezali L. 27. Kallio E. 16. Kemppainen O. 3. Lietsa A. 8. Ojala M. 6. Paananen J. 2. Sipola S. 10. Triana C.
Coaches
Nuorela J.	Isokangas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ⚽,
45', Karjalainen R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vahtera J. ↓, Odhiambo X. ↑,
58', Jokelainen N. ↓, Ghezali L. ↑,
59', Daoussi Y. 🟨,
66', Daoussi Y. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
66', Lindholm S. ↓, Holmelund C. ↑,
74', Karjalainen R. ↓, Triana C. ↑,
74', Silander S. ↓, Kemppainen O. ↑,
78', Arsalo M. 🟨,
79', Mane L. 🟨,
85', Arsalo M. ↓, Paananen J. ↑,
85', Lima P. ↓, Simpson R. ↑,
89', Odhiambo X. ↓, Ogunniyi O. ↑,
90', Kouassivi-Benissan K. 🟨,
90+2', Holmelund C. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Oulu has had a series of home games.

VPS could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in VPS: Ronnberg V. (Inactive)

There will not play in Oulu: Omotayo J. (Inactive) Tiihonen O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in VPS: Muzinga J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VPS won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:27. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

AC Oulu: 0.56% VPS: 0.49%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37
6	VPS	26	10	6	10	30:31	-1	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	VPS Vaasa - Lahti	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	VPS Vaasa - TPS	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa	1:3 ✺
02.08.26	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL
- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Oulu - SJK	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	Oulu - HJK	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Oulu - Ilves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	5:1
18.04.26	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
24.01.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:4
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.10.25	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	2:0
28.06.25	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	2:1
05.04.25	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	4:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.02.25	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	2:1

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