Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 19

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		BATE 2

	1	X	2
	1.60	4.00	4.20
	1.57	4.05	3.75
	1.55	3.80	4.15
	1.54	4.20	4.66
	1.50	4.40	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)	4.09 ↓ (4.15)	4.23 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
57.3%

Draw
21.7%

BATE 2
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

21.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

19.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

BATE 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smorgon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Perov D. (G) 17. Dukso M. 5. Elagin K. 30. Fartuna B. 2. Intsoen C. (C) 59. Kabachevskiy V. 78. Kovalevich V. 99. Malashenko G. 33. Poznyak A. 27. Tishko A. 25. Yarotskiy Y.	35. Zhurba V. (G) 18. Apanasevich K. 44. Dubovskiy P. 8. Kolosovskiy P. (C) 21. Kuimov I. 77. Kuzmenok Y. 24. Mikhnyuk I. 10. Rusakov E. 3. Shakhnovich E. 14. Telesh M. 11. Titov M.
Substitutes
3. Autko M. 1. Azarko M. (G) 77. Bogdanovich I. 47. Kukhley R. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 11. Sivkov I. 23. Stankevich A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G) 20. Zhabrakov D.	7. Aliyev R. 6. Karpovich M. 27. Karshakevich D. 16. Klyakin M. (G) 47. Machnach E. 17. Sakhonchik A. 4. Shcherbakov N. 68. Starikov E. 9. Tolkach M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Titov M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Dukso M. ⚽, Fartuna B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Nsangou J. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Smorgon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

BATE 2 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, BATE 2 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Smorgon is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33
16	BATE 2	27	5	7	15	36:61	-25	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.08.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Molodechno - Smorgon	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Smorgon - Gomel 2	2:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Smorgon - Minsk	3:4 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
11.07.26	Orsha - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT
- BATE 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.08.26	BATE 2 - BumProm Gomel	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	BATE 2 - Minsk 2	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	BATE 2 - Lida	1:4 ✺
04.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - BATE 2	5:0 ✺
28.06.26	BATE 2 - SKA-1938	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.04.26	BATE 2 - Smorgon	1:1

Smorgon - BATE 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide