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Current Win Probability
Ascoli 54.9%
Draw 26.6%
SPAL 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
29.6%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
27.9%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPAL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Ascoli - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ascoli will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Raffaelli M. (G) 23. Alagna M. 28. Gagliolo R. 19. Menna D. 27. Cozzoli F. 24. Bando A. 8. Varone I. 7. Silipo A. 32. Tremolada L. 10. Marsura D. 77. Caccavo L.
12. Galeotti C. (G) 23. Arena M. 29. Nador S. 26. Bassoli A. 28. Calapai L. 20. Zammarini R. 8. El Kaddouri O. 33. D'Orazio L. 19. Mignanelli D. 11. Rao E. 7. Antenucci M.
Substitutes
22. Abati L. (G) 70. Achik I. 6. Adjapong C. 5. Bertini M. 21. Campagna S. 15. D'Uffizi S. 67. Gagliardi M. 92. Gorica K. 25. Maiga Silvestri Y. 3. Maurizii E. 13. Piermarini M. 14. Quaranta D. 85. Sciammarella L. (G)
93. Angeletti T. 77. Bidaoui S. 27. Boccia A. 3. Bruscagin M. 80. Buchel M. 91. Conte O. 90. Kane L. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 18. Ntenda J. 13. Polito V. 10. Radrezza I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Caccavo L. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Antenucci M. ⚽,
39', Varone I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Menna D. ↓, Piermarini M. ↑,
63', Silipo A. ↓, Achik I. ↑,
63', Bando A. ↓, Bertini M. ↑,
68', Caccavo L. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
70', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
71', Calapai L. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
75', Buchel M. 🟨,
79', Bertini M. 🟨,
81', Zammarini R. 🟨,
84', Tremolada L. ↓, Gagliardi M. ↑,
84', El Kaddouri O. ↓, Boccia A. ↑,
88', Rao E. ↓, Bidaoui S. ↑,
90', Bidaoui S. 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.
Ascoli in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Ascoli is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
Italy
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Raffaelli M. (G) 
Gagliolo R. 
Nador S. 
El Kaddouri O. 
Buchel M. 
Conte O. 
Kane L. 
Ntenda J. 
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