Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 28

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	SPAL		Campobasso

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.85	3.15
	2.25	2.99	3.53
	2.27	2.98	3.46	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.4
	2.15	2.98	3.35	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.6)	2.91 ↓ (3.11)	3.34 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
41.1%

Draw
31.5%

Campobasso
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPAL's performance.

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Campobasso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campobasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SPAL - Campobasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 6. Fiordaliso A. 23. Arena M. 26. Bassoli A. 19. Mignanelli D. 10. Radrezza I. 29. Nador S. 5. Awua T. 40. Spini C. 7. Antenucci M. (C) 27. Parigini V.	1. Neri F. (G) 66. Remy M. 6. Benassai F. 25. Calabrese B. 18. Pierno R. 71. Cerretelli F. 36. Serra A. 23. Pellitteri A. 20. Martina A. 97. Bifulco A. 9. Di Nardo A.
Substitutes
3. Bruscagin M. 28. Calapai L. 33. D'Orazio L. 15. Haoudi H. 17. Iglio G. 90. Kane L. 9. Karlsson O. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 99. Nina C. 18. Ntenda J. 11. Rao E. 20. Zammarini R. 31. Zenti A. (G)	26. Bigonzoni M. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 73. Di Stefano L. 10. Falco F. 22. Forte F. (G) 7. Forte R. 17. Lombari A. 33. Mancini D. 5. Mondonico D. 19. Morelli G. 28. Prezioso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Di Nardo A. ⚽,
45+2', Di Nardo A. (Pen),
45+2', Mignanelli D. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Pellitteri A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Calapai L. ↓, Fiordaliso A. ↑,
46', Spini C. ↓, D'Orazio L. ↑,
46', Awua T. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
48', Parigini V. 🟨,
60', Arena M. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
61', Parigini V. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
61', Serra A. ↓, D'Angelo Sonny ↑,
71', Bifulco A. ↓, Falco F. ↑,
74', Neri F. 🟨,
81', Pierno R. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Antenucci M. ⚽,
90+4', Pierno R. ↓, Morelli G. ↑,
90+4', Pellitteri A. ↓, Prezioso M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

SPAL has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Campobasso is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SPAL will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Last Results with these Odds

SPAL - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.25	SPAL - Rimini	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	Virtus Entella - SPAL	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	SPAL - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Carpi - SPAL	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	SPAL - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.25	Campobasso - Ternana	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Campobasso - Pontedera	0:2 ✺
31.01.25	Vis Pesaro - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Campobasso - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Sassari Torres - Campobasso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.10.24	Campobasso - SPAL	4:0

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