Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 23

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	SPAL		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.1
	1.75	3	4
	1.77	3.4	4.86	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.5
	1.79	3.37	4.67	Watch
	1.75	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.89)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	4.36 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
51.1%

Draw
28.2%

Sestri Levante
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

SPAL - Sestri Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 28. Calapai L. 26. Bassoli A. 23. Arena M. 19. Mignanelli D. 20. Zammarini R. 5. Awua T. 33. D'Orazio L. 77. Bidaoui S. 7. Antenucci M. 11. Rao E.	99. Guadagno J. (G) 95. Primasso A. 4. Pane M. 5. Valentini N. 3. Furno C. 25. Nunziatini F. 18. Rosetti M. 58. Fedele M. 10. Clemenza L. 9. Parravicini N. 17. Goglino P. A.
Substitutes
21. Bachini M. 97. Baud Banaga M. 3. Bruscagin M. 91. Conte O. 8. El Kaddouri O. 6. Fiordaliso A. 15. Haoudi H. 90. Kane L. 9. Karlsson O. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 29. Nador S. 18. Ntenda J. 10. Radrezza I.	6. Bordin 7. Durmush M. 22. Fusco E. (G) 43. Montebugnoli M. 23. Nenci O. 14. Oneto E. 19. Pavanello A. 27. Podda L. 86. Raggio G. S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Zammarini R. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Rao E. ⚽,
34', Primasso A. 🟨,
36', Bassoli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', D'Orazio L. 🟨,
53', Fedele M. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
56', Bidaoui S. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
60', Awua T. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Durmush M. ⚽,
70', Awua T. ↓, Nador S. ↑,
70', Bassoli A. ↓, El Kaddouri O. ↑,
73', Primasso A. ↓, Oneto E. ↑,
73', Goglino P. A. ↓, Raggio G. S. ↑,
85', Furno C. ↓, Montebugnoli M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches SPAL is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sestri Levante is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SPAL could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match SPAL is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
10.01.25	Lucchese - SPAL	2:3 ✺
05.01.25	SPAL - Perugia	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Ascoli - SPAL	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Gubbio - SPAL	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	SPAL - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTTL
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
11.01.25	Sestri Levante - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Pineto - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Sestri Levante - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Sestri Levante - Carpi	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	Ascoli - Sestri Levante	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.24	Sestri Levante - SPAL	1:3
03.03.24	Sestri Levante - SPAL	2:3
26.10.23	SPAL - Sestri Levante	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	SPAL - Sestri Levante	2:0

SPAL - Sestri Levante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide