Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 24

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Carpi		SPAL

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.35	2.85	2.65
	2.47	3.25	2.9
	2.5	3.13	2.89
	2.38	3	2.88
	2.34	3.16	2.73	Watch
	2.35	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.12)	3.05 ↓ (3.14)	2.77 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
37.8%

Draw
29.6%

SPAL
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

30.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Carpi - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Carpi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). SPAL will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 3. Cecotti T. 6. Zagnoni D. 13. Panelli T. 19. Rossini M. 24. Casarini F. 30. Contiliano N. 90. Figoli M. 20. Puletto F. 72. Cortesi M. 27. Gerbi E.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 28. Calapai L. 23. Arena M. 29. Nador S. 19. Mignanelli D. 20. Zammarini R. 5. Awua T. 15. Haoudi H. 33. D'Orazio L. 7. Antenucci M. 11. Rao E.
Substitutes
11. Amayah P. 5. Calanca A. 70. Campagna S. 12. Lorenzi C. (G) 4. Mandelli A. 36. Rigo M. 23. Sall A. 10. Saporetti S. 7. Stanzani L. 22. Theiner D. (G) 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R.	21. Bachini M. 97. Baud Banaga M. 3. Bruscagin M. 92. Cecchinato L. 91. Conte O. 8. El Kaddouri O. 6. Fiordaliso A. 90. Kane L. 9. Karlsson O. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 18. Ntenda J. 10. Radrezza I. 40. Spini C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Arena M. 🟨,
12', Nador S. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Contiliano N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Mignanelli D. 🟨,
66', D'Orazio L. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
66', Awua T. ↓, El Kaddouri O. ↑,
67', Gerbi E. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
67', Contiliano N. ↓, Campagna S. ↑,
69', Figoli M. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
77', Rossini M. 🟨,
80', Sorzi M. 🟨,
82', Mignanelli D. 🟨,
85', Puletto F. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
85', Cortesi M. ↓, Calanca A. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Carpi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
19.01.25	Carpi - Virtus Entella	0:3 ✺
10.01.25	Perugia - Carpi	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Carpi - Milan Futuro	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Rimini - Carpi	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Sestri Levante - Carpi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTTW
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
18.01.25	SPAL - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Lucchese - SPAL	2:3 ✺
05.01.25	SPAL - Perugia	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Ascoli - SPAL	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Gubbio - SPAL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.24	SPAL - Carpi	2:1
Italian Serie B
18.03.17	Carpi - SPAL	1:4
22.10.16	SPAL - Carpi	3:1
Club Friendly
10.08.16	SPAL - Carpi	1:3

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