Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 8

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	SPAL		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.47	4	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.94	6.81
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.46	3.86	6.35	Watch
	1.47	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.58)	3.88 ↑ (3.58)	6.35 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
62.1%

Draw
23.6%

Fermana
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

25.6%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

18.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fermana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

SPAL - Fermana Predictions

Users Predictions: SPAL will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alfonso E. (G) 3. Bruscagin M. 23. Arena M. 4. Valentini N. 21. Celia R. 8. Collodel R. 25. Carraro M. 5. Contiliano N. 26. Siligardi L. 7. Antenucci M. 19. Dalmonte N.	1. Borghetto N. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 5. Spedalieri J. 30. Laverone L. 27. Calderoni M. 8. Scorza C. 20. Giandonato M. 26. Misuraca G. 9. Curatolo D. 70. Semprini M. 10. Pinzi R.
Substitutes
6. Bertini M. 34. Breit P. 28. Del Favero M. (G) 44. Dumbravanu D. 2. Fiordaliso A. 17. Iglio G. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 80. Puletto F. 11. Rabbi S. 75. Rao E. 97. Serigne Deme 91. Simonetta J. 33. Tripaldelli A.	87. Benkhalqui M. O. 4. De Pascalis D. 16. Fontana T. 6. Fort F. 22. Furlanetto A. (G) 21. Grassi L. 12. Mancini A. (G) 69. Montini M. 23. Palmucci S. 3. Pistolesi F. 15. Santi P. 18. Vessella M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Recent matches SPAL is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fermana has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fermana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match SPAL is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.23	SPAL - Lucchese	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	SPAL - Pescara	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	SPAL - Sestri Levante	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Recanatese - SPAL	1:0 ✺
27.09.23	Cesena - SPAL	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLL
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
09.10.23	Fermana - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Pescara - Fermana	6:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Fermana - Cesena	0:4 ✺
19.09.23	Fermana - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

SPAL - Fermana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide