Match Info

Date: 16 July 2020, Thursday


	SPAL		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	12	6.5	1.22	Watch
	11.5	6.75	1.22
	12	6.4	1.23	Watch
	11	6.4	1.23
	12.41	6.65	1.24
	15	6.5	1.2	Watch
	16.25	7.5	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.88 ↑ (9.19)	6.67 ↑ (5.44)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
7.4%

Draw
14.4%

Inter Milan
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.4%

17.5%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.5%

15.9%

79.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.9%	1.8%	89.3%

SPAL - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (100 of 112 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.56% – 95.02%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie A
12.07.20	Genoa - SPAL	2:0 ✺
09.07.20	SPAL - Udinese	0:3 ✺
05.07.20	Sampdoria - SPAL	3:0 ✺
01.07.20	SPAL - Milan	2:2 ✺
28.06.20	Napoli - SPAL	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTL
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
13.07.20	Inter Milan - Torino	3:1 ✺
09.07.20	Verona - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
05.07.20	Inter Milan - Bologna	1:2 ✺
01.07.20	Inter Milan - Brescia	6:0 ✺
28.06.20	Parma - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.12.19	Inter Milan - SPAL	2:1
10.03.19	Inter Milan - SPAL	2:0
07.10.18	SPAL - Inter Milan	1:2
28.01.18	SPAL - Inter Milan	1:1
10.09.17	Inter Milan - SPAL	2:0

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