Match Info

Serie A - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Inter Milan		Bologna

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.43	4.95	6.9	Watch
	1.43	5.01	7.6	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.46	4.93	7.7
	1.44	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)	4.77 ↑ (4.47)	7.17 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
66.7%

Draw
20%

Bologna
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

21.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.7%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	7.5%	10.4%

Inter Milan - Bologna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Bologna (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (55 of 67 users predict this - 82.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.91% – 91.27%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 22 - 84.6%). Bologna (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 7. Zielinski P. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 9. Thuram M.	13. Ravaglia F. (G) 2. Holm E. 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 11. Rowe J. 21. Odgaard J. 28. Cambiaghi N. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
15. Acerbi F. 30. Carlos Augusto 50. Cinquegrano S. 43. Cocchi M. 6. de Vrij S. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 53. Lavelli M. 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 8. Sucic P. 60. Taho A. (G)	16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 8. Freuler R. 17. Immobile C. 33. Miranda J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 77. Sulemana I. 41. Vitik M. 20. Zortea N.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Calhanoglu H. 🟨,
30', Bastoni A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Zielinski P. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Moro N. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
46', Lucumi J. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Martinez L. ⚽, Calhanoglu H. (A),
63', Barella N. 🟨,
67', Barella N. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
67', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
68', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
68', Holm E. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
72', Vitik M. 🟨,
74', 3 - 0, Thuram M. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
75', Martinez L. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
75', Bastoni A. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
78', Rowe J. 🟨,
79', Odgaard J. ↓, Freuler R. ↑,
83', Thuram M. ↓, Lavelli M. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Castro S. ⚽, Lykogiannis C. (A),
89', Lykogiannis C. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Inter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inter is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Bonny A. (Knee Injury) Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.6:1.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 45% Bologna: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
28.12.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
19.12.25	Bologna - Inter Milan	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Genoa - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Inter Milan - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Inter Milan - Como	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
28.12.25	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
22.12.25	Napoli - Bologna	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Bologna - Inter Milan	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Bologna - Juventus	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Super Cup
19.12.25	Bologna - Inter Milan	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie A
20.04.25	Bologna - Inter Milan	1:0
15.01.25	Inter Milan - Bologna	2:2
09.03.24	Bologna - Inter Milan	0:1
Coppa Italia
20.12.23	Inter Milan - Bologna	1:2 ET
Italian Serie A
07.10.23	Inter Milan - Bologna	2:2
26.02.23	Bologna - Inter Milan	1:0

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