Match Info

Serie A - Round 19

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Parma		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	10	4.75	1.33	Watch
	8	4.8	1.39
	9.3	5.4	1.32	Watch
	9.26	5.36	1.33	Watch
	8	4.8	1.33
	9.65	5.44	1.37
	9	5.33	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.03 ↑ (7.49)	5.13 ↑ (5.09)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
10.5%

Draw
18.6%

Inter Milan
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

18.6%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

17.8%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	8.1%	87.1%

Parma - Inter Milan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Parma (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Inter (1.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (54 of 62 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.76% – 95.44%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Inter (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Corvi E. (G) 27. Britschgi S. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 14. Valeri E. 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 22. Sorensen O. 21. Oristanio G. 9. Pellegrino M. 17. Ondrejka J.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 30. Carlos Augusto 11. Luis Henrique 8. Sucic P. 20. Calhanoglu H. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 94. Esposito F.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 25. Cremaschi B. 32. Cutrone P. 30. Djuric M. 8. Estevez N. 13. Guaita V. (G) 23. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 24. Ordonez C. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 37. Troilo M. 5. Valenti L.	15. Acerbi F. 23. Barella N. 95. Bastoni A. 14. Bonny A. 50. Cinquegrano S. 43. Cocchi M. 6. de Vrij S. 41. Kamate I. 13. Martinez J. (G) 60. Taho A. (G) 9. Thuram M. 7. Zielinski P.
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Calhanoglu H. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Dimarco F. ⚽, Esposito F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Oristanio G. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
62', Ondrejka J. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
69', Sucic P. ↓, Barella N. ↑,
69', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
75', Bernabe A. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
75', Pellegrino M. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
79', Esposito F. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
85', Luis Henrique ↓, Acerbi F. ↑,
85', Martinez L. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
86', Keita M. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
90+1', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
90+7', Thuram M. 🟨,
90+8', 0 - 2, Thuram M. ⚽, Barella N. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Inter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Benedyczak A. (Illness)

There are questionable in Inter: Diouf A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Parma won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 45% Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
03.01.26	Sassuolo - Parma	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Parma - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Parma - Lazio	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Pisa - Parma	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWLWL
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
04.01.26	Inter Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
19.12.25	Bologna - Inter Milan	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Genoa - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Inter Milan - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
05.04.25	Parma - Inter Milan	2:2
06.12.24	Inter Milan - Parma	3:1
Coppa Italia
10.01.23	Inter Milan - Parma	2:1 ET
Club Friendly
08.08.21	Parma - Inter Milan	0:2
Italian Serie A
04.03.21	Parma - Inter Milan	1:2
31.10.20	Inter Milan - Parma	2:2
28.06.20	Parma - Inter Milan	1:2

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