Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Genoa		SPAL

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	7	Watch
	1.52	3.9	6.25
	1.53	3.75	7
	1.55	3.95	7.62
	1.53	4	6.5	Watch
	1.52	3.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	3.88 ↑ (3.8)	6.8 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Genoa
61.7%

Draw
24.4%

SPAL
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

24.8%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

24.3%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Genoa - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (49.2%), has project points - 65, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a good chance of promoted (68%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (18.18%), has project points - 41, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 69, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Genoa won 3.

Recent matches Genoa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Genoa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Genoa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie B
19.02.23	Modena - Genoa	2:2 ✺
10.02.23	Genoa - Palermo	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Parma - Genoa	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Genoa - Pisa	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Benevento - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTW
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
18.02.23	SPAL - Como	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Venezia - SPAL	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	SPAL - Bari	3:4 ✺
27.01.23	Cagliari - SPAL	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	SPAL - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
18.10.22	Genoa - SPAL	1:0
Italian Serie B
01.10.22	SPAL - Genoa	0:2
Italian Serie A
12.07.20	Genoa - SPAL	2:0
25.11.19	SPAL - Genoa	1:1
28.04.19	SPAL - Genoa	1:1
09.12.18	Genoa - SPAL	1:1
31.03.18	Genoa - SPAL	1:1

Upcoming Matches