The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SPG Wels 47.5%
Draw 25.1%
Sturm Graz B 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
26.9%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
26.4%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPG Wels's performance.
Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sturm Graz B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPG Wels that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturm Graz B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
SPG Wels - Sturm Graz B Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. SPG Wels will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sturm B will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Schrocker K. (G) 22. Conte K. 14. Tischler L. 5. Keckeisen N. 28. Gobara P. (C) 12. Brugger M. 61. Sahin T. 20. Malinowski S. 9. Gashi A. 77. Thurnwald M. 7. Svec M.
1. Donat N. (G) 5. Maierhofer B. 31. Pernot B. (C) 56. Petritsch J. 37. Bendra K. 30. Mustafic S. 21. Scharmer T. 11. Gurmann T. 33. Lazarre W. 45. Nsumbu D. 38. Peinhart J.
Substitutes
33. Bosnjak A. 4. Feyrer S. 42. Lechner F. 8. Radics A. 17. Steinmann R. 70. Szakal S. (G)
10. Afrifa L. 20. Gratzei J. 57. Grgic M. 9. Jastrzembski D. 99. Knezevic N. (G) 29. Koita Y. 47. Osayantin R.
Coaches
Heinle C.
Wurm C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Gobara P. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Malinowski S. ⚽, Thurnwald M. (A),
29', Gurmann T. 🟨,
41', Petritsch J. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Gashi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Pernot B. 🟨,
68', Tischler L. 🟨,
70', Petritsch J. ↓, Afrifa L. ↑,
70', Bendra K. ↓, Grgic M. ↑,
71', Svec M. ↓, Ceri S. ↑,
76', Lazarre W. ↓, Jastrzembski D. ↑,
76', Peinhart J. ↓, Osayantin R. ↑,
82', Scharmer T. ↓, Gratzei J. ↑,
84', Brugger M. ↓, Lechner F. ↑,
84', Malinowski S. ↓, Bosnjak A. ↑,
90+2', Gobara P. ↓, Feyrer S. ↑,
90+2', Gashi A. ↓, Radics A. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SPG Wels won 3.
Recent performances by SPG Wels have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sturm B has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SPG Wels won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, SPG Wels won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Sturm Graz II
7
2
2
3
15:18
-3
8
15
Hertha Wels
7
1
1
5
8:17
-9
4
Last Results with these Odds
Sturm Graz B - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Austria
Germany
Switzerland
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Schrocker K. (G) 
Conte K. 
Keckeisen N. 
Svec M. 
Bendra K. 
Mustafic S. 
Lazarre W. 
Nsumbu D. 
Bosnjak A. 
Afrifa L. 
Jastrzembski D. 
Koita Y. 
