Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga Central - Round 14

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday


	Wallern-Marienkirchen		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.65
	2.23	3.5	2.75
	2.25	3.44	3.01
	2.13	3.44	2.95
	2.23	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.66)	3.46 ↓ (3.51)	2.82 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wallern-Marienkirchen
41.3%

Draw
26.4%

SPG Wels
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

25.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wallern-Marienkirchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wallern-Marienkirchen's performance.

SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPG Wels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wallern-Marienkirchen than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wallern-Marienkirchen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SPG Wels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wallern Marienkirchen - SPG Wels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Mislov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 1, Wild M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 2).

Wallern-Marienkirchen in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches SPG Wels is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wallern-Marienkirchen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Wallern-Marienkirchen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wallern-Marienkirchen
Austrian Regionalliga Central
25.10.24	Leoben - Wallern-Marienkirchen	1:3 ✺
18.10.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Union Vöcklamarkt	5:1 ✺
12.10.24	Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen - Wallern-Marienkirchen	1:3 ✺
04.10.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Ried II	4:0 ✺
27.09.24	ASKÖ Oedt - Wallern-Marienkirchen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWT
- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
25.10.24	Union Vöcklamarkt - SPG Wels	1:3 ✺
18.10.24	SPG Wels - Ried II	4:1 ✺
12.10.24	Vorwärts Steyr - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	SPG Wels - Gleisdorf	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	LASK II - SPG Wels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
08.05.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - SPG Wels	1:2
07.10.23	SPG Wels - Wallern-Marienkirchen	2:2

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